Friday, July 5, 2019

THE INDIA-PAKISTAN RELATIONSHIP: CONFLICT AS THE DEFAULT CONDITION

Relations between India and Pakistan remain at an impasse, largely because of the different trajectories taken by the two nations since independence. India chose an inclusive democracy and secularism as its central plank. It had tall leaders who nurtured the concept in the formative years of the young nation, but more importantly, the idea of democracy and secularism jelled well with the majority Hindu population, as Hinduism (Sanātan Dharma), in essence was inclusive and non-sectarian. Paradoxically, in Pakistan, a state which came into being based on a separate religious ideology, there was lack of ideological lucidity.
The word ‘PAKSTAN’ was coined by Rahmat Ali in a pamphlet he published on 28 January 1933, titled "Now or Never: Are We to Live or Perish Forever?” As originally conceived, Pakistan was to consist of the five northern units of British India—Punjab, North West Frontier Province (Afghania), Kashmir, Sind and Baluchistan. East Bengal was not a part of this calculus. By the end of 1933, the word ‘Pakistan’ had become common vocabulary where an ‘I’ was added to ease pronunciation. In the pamphlet, Ali spoke of the Muslim and Hindu being separate nations and expressed the need for the creation of Pakistan, lest “our Islamic heritage perish throughout the Sub-continent of India”. The underlying principle for the creation of Pakistan was thus based on exclusivity, and having a separate state based on religious affinity. 
This was the political theme which Jinnah too propounded. “It is a dream,” he said, “that the Hindus and Muslims can ever evolve a common nationality…The Hindus and Muslims belong to two different religious philosophies, social customs, and literature[s]. They neither intermarry nor inter-dine together, and indeed they belong to two different civilisations which are based mainly on conflicting ideas and conceptions…To yoke together two such nations under a single state, one as a numerical minority and the other as a majority, must lead to growing discontent, and final destruction of any fabric that may be so built up for the government of such a state”. While Jinnah was not the first to propound the two nation theory, he gave the concept political legitimacy, which led to the creation of Pakistan as a separate homeland for the Muslims. 
Was Jinnah conflicted on what Pakistan should be? In his address to the Constituent Assembly of Pakistan on 11 August 1947, as the Governor General designate of Pakistan, he spoke of a secular Pakistan. “You may belong to any religion,” he said, “that has nothing to do with the business of the state… We are starting with this fundamental principle that we are all citizens and equal citizens of the state… I think we should keep that in front of us as our ideal…” 
This was in direct contradiction to his earlier rhetoric seeking a different identity based on being Muslim. In any case, four decades of laying emphasis on the differences between Hindus and Muslims and the threat to the latter from the former could obviously not be erased by a single speech. An “Islamic Pakistan” may have been a slogan for the Muslim League to mobilise followers rather than as a goal of the League’s leadership. However, the slogan took on a life of its own committing Pakistan to incorporate Islam into the fabric of the state. While Jinnah may have been a secularist in his personal life, his politics was not based on secular principles.
The issue of what Pakistan should be still resonates in the country, without any satisfactory outcome and raises the question whether the idea of Pakistan was sufficiently imagined at its inception. In her book, historian Ayesha Jalal asks, ‘how did a Pakistan come about which fitted the interests of most Muslims so poorly’? This perhaps is an acknowledgement that the imagined Pakistan has not only not come about, but has taken on a form, which ill serves the people for whom it was supposed to be a new Medina, harking back to the imagined glory at the time of Muhammad.
Hans J. Morgenthau’s comments on Pakistan also make the same point. In an article published in 1956, critiquing the Asian policy of the US, he stated that the US military policy with respect to Pakistan was ‘fraught with illusion and danger’. The latter, he said was… ‘not a nation and hardly a state. It has no justification in history, ethnic origin, language, civilisation, or the consciousness of those who make up its population. They have no interest in common save one: fear of Hindu domination. It is to that fear and to nothing else that Pakistan owes its existence, and thus far its survival as an independent state’. He further observed that it was hard to see ‘how anything but a miracle or else a revival of religious fanaticism, will assure Pakistan’s future’. That miracle is yet to happen, but religious fanaticism continues to gain ground at a rapid rate.
What has made successive Pakistani leaderships use Islam as a tool for nation building? In the early years after independence, it was done to glue the nation together as there was an absence of nationalism in the various constituents that made the two wings of Pakistan. Each constituent had its own distinct social fabric, language and ethnicity, so the belief was that Islam could be used as the binding glue. The formation of Pakistan was attributed to a presumed unified Islamic ethos, and in the process, all kinds of tools were applied to de-emphasise local and regional agendas and any discussion of regional dynamics or prerogatives was considered subversive. The Urdu speaking elite which had migrated to Pakistan from the minority provinces of India abrogated to themselves a major say in the shaping of the narrative at the expense of the regions indigenous intellectuals and activists, as a consequence of which the latter had lesser influence in helping to shape the destiny of the new nation.
In the event, when Pakistan adopted its Constitution on 23 September 1956, Pakistan was declared an Islamic Republic. Earlier, the Constituent Assembly had adopted the ‘Objectives Resolution’ on 12 March 1949, as a set of guiding principles for the future constitution. Combining features from both Western democracy and Islamic principles, it stated that sovereignty belonged to Allah alone but He has delegated it to the state of Pakistan through its people for being exercised as a sacred trust. The principles of democracy, freedom, tolerance and social justice as enunciated by Islam were to be fully observed, fundamental rights were to be guaranteed, Pakistan was to be a federation and the judiciary was to be independent. However, incorporating into law the concept that sovereignty belonged to Allah alone was dangerous as it had the potential to override any law to appease Muslim sentiment and potentially delivered power to the clergy.
While Jinnah’s vision of a liberal Pakistan lacked roots, it was but one of the competing ideas in a series of narratives, the others being those put forward by the Islamists and the various ethno-linguistic groups in the Provinces. An astonishing aspect of Pakistan’s creation was the fact that it chose Urdu as its national language. Urdu was the language of the Mughal court and army, and of the Muslim elites and population of North India. It was not the mother tongue of the people living in either of the Wings of Pakistan and was spoken by less than 3 per cent of the population at that time. The strategy of forcing these populations to go to school in Urdu spurred local nationalist resentment in East Pakistan, Sindh and the North West Frontier Province (NWFP, now called Khyber Pakhtunkhwa), especially as Urdu was not the language of the top elites. Under British rule, English had remained the language of senior ranks of government, of high society and of higher education. The imposition of Urdu as the national language thus remained unpopular at the lower level of society and was treated with snobbish contempt by the English speaking elite. It thus got squeezed from both ends of society. In the case of East Wing, it eventually led to the breakup of the state in just over two decades with the erstwhile East Pakistan becoming sovereign and naming itself Bangladesh in 1971.
The first decade of Pakistan’s independence were witness to political instability, civil disturbances and a weakening economy, which prompted a military takeover by General Ayub Khan on 7 October 1958. Ayub’s coup was given legal sanction by Pakistan’s Supreme Court, citing the Doctrine of Necessity. Thus began Pakistan’s long experiments with military rule, broken by short periods of civilian rule which too were for the most part autocratic in functioning. Under Ayub, the military justified its rule in moral and strategic terms and took on itself the onus of addressing grave matters of state security from the hands of the political class. The security of Pakistan in turn came to be identified with the Punjab and NWFP as nearly all its manpower was drawn from these two provinces. This still remains the dominant theme within Pakistan. While remaining aloof from Islamic doctrine, the military focused on geo-strategic concerns while formulating a security policy for Pakistan. Security concerns voiced by the military were perceived in terms of a threat from India. This was centred on three prongs. The first was the need for a strong standing army ready to take to field at short notice against any threat from India. The second was to exploit Pakistan’s geo-strategic position to receive aid from the West and the third was to move towards better relations with both the (then) USSR and China. A curious aspect of Pakistan’s security policy was that it was entirely centred on the security of the West Wing. Ayub believed East Pakistan was indefensible, being surrounded on three sides by India. The defence of the East Wing hence lay in the strength of West Pakistan. This reasoning did not go down too well with the Bengalis and was one of the factors which led to the creation of Bangladesh.
It was under Ayub Khan’s presidency (October 1958-March 1969) that the study of Islam or ‘Islamiyat’ was made compulsory in Pakistan’s education system. As taught in schools, the history of Pakistan was no longer a product of a post-colonial constitutional power-sharing struggle or the subcontinent's syncretic and shared Hindu-Muslim heritage, but an almost inexorable culmination of the arrival of Islam on the subcontinent. Notions of implacable Hindu and Indian hostility were reinforced. While Ayub Khan was not imbued with radical ideology, he was neither a secularist nor was he averse to Pakistan having a state ideology. General Zia ul Haq went further down the road in Islamising Pakistan’s legal and educational system, but his policy was an extension of a consistent state ideology and not an aberration.
The period of Ayub Khan saw the transformation of Pakistan from an ideologically defined but ethnically circumscribed state to one whose orientation was perceived in terms of security against India. By the time Ayub was deposed by his Army Chief, General Yahya Khan, the Pakistan Army too had changed, from being an apolitical force to one that was deeply involved in the running of the country. The process had begun in 1947 itself, with the military invoking jihad and religious scholars issuing supportive fatwas or religious decrees to mobilise tribesman from the frontier for raiding and seizing Kashmir. Pakistan failed in this attempt, but it still took recourse to tapping jihadi sentiments as part of its war fighting strategy to asymmetrically secure political and territorial gains vis-à-vis India. Pakistan attempted this again in the 1965 war with India when it sent armed infiltrators into Kashmir, in the hope of igniting a wider uprising. It failed yet again, but in the aftermath of the conflict, the Pakistani military moved closer to an Islamist ideology with religious symbolisms being used to raise the morale of troops. Pakistan’s state controlled media generated a frenzy of jihad, extolling the virtues of Pakistan’s ‘soldiers of Islam’. Many young officers who fought in that conflict described it as a struggle between Islam and un-Islam, a terminology used previously only by religious ideologues such as Jamaat-e-Islami’s Maulana Maududi.
When Bhutto came to power post the disastrous 1971 war with India, which saw the breakup of Pakistan and the creation of Bangladesh, his slogan was “Islam our Faith, Democracy our Polity, Socialism our economy”. This period saw reference in Pakistani history text books to Mohammad bin Qasim, an Arab commander of the Umayyad dynasty who invaded Sindh in 711 CE, as the first Pakistani. This notion was first propagated in 1953 and soon after found its way into the narrative of religious parties such as the Jamaat-e-Islami (JI), before becoming part of the school curriculum under Bhutto’s watch. Zia ul Haq later aggressively promoted this idea in a bid to trace Pakistan’s roots to the Arab world in a bid to abandon Pakistan’s Asian roots. In 1998, Qasim was officially adopted as the ‘first citizen of Pakistan’ in ‘Fifty Years of Pakistan’ published by the Federal Bureau of Pakistan. This question of identity underlines an inherent fault line in Pakistan which continues to shape the Pakistani narrative. 
Bhutto sought to curtail the powers of the Army and initiated Pakistan’s nuclear weapons programme, both as a strategic wedge against India as also to undercut the Army’s claim to being the ultimate defender of Pakistan. But he remained in agreement with the Army that the primary threat to Pakistan came from India. The issue of Muslim identity continued to be asserted, with Pakistan’s parliament adopting a law that declared the Ahmadiyya community non-Muslims. The country's constitution was amended to define a Muslim "...as a person who believes in the finality of the Prophet Muhammad”. Zia ul Haq went further down that road, when he promulgated Ordinance XX on 26 April 1984, which prohibited the practice of Islam and the usage of Islamic terms and titles for the Ahmadiyya Muslim Community.
Bhutto was replaced in a coup by General Zia ul Haq, the fourth in Pakistan’s brief history. His vision of a modern Pakistan had Islam at its core; he accordingly attempted to foster an Islamic ideology on the state declaring that the “preservation of that ideology and the Islamic character of Pakistan were…as important as the security of the country’s geographical boundaries”. While restoring the Army’s role in Pakistan, he also gave it the mantle of guarding the nation’s ideological frontiers over and above its mandated role of guarding Pakistan’s geographical boundaries. 
Zia championed a role for Islam that was more state directed and less a matter of personal choice. The Islamic Ideology Council that he formed soon after coming to power was tasked to prepare an outline of an Islamic theocratic state. He announced the basing of all laws on the Sharia and on Islamic tenets. He established the Federal Shariat Court to examine laws in the light of Islamic injunctions and to review all military and civil verdicts for compliance with Islamic law. The strategies that Zia appropriated and   propagated   were   based   on   narrow,   medieval   interpretations   of   Islam,   which resulted in gender biased attitudes and policies and militarised exhortations to take up arms for the sake of jihad. The stratification of Pakistan's educational infrastructure also created significant divergences of world views  with madrassa  students  tending  to gravitate  more  toward  jihad. Public school or Urdu-medium students too imbibed radical ideas but to a lesser extent. 
The Zia decade of power (July 1977-August 1988) coincided largely with the decade of Soviet occupation in Afghanistan (December 1979–May 1988), which allowed him to salvage his reputation at the international level. The anti-Soviet jihad which Pakistan supported and propped with US assistance served the purpose of defeating the Soviets but led to Pakistan becoming a major global centre of radical Islamists ideas and groups. During the war against the Soviet Union, a large number of Afghans took refuge in Pakistan and were housed in camps which later became the base for the recruitment of mujahidin. Financial and material support to the mujahidin came from the United States and Saudi Arabia using the ISI as the conduit. Over time, religious schools (madaris) became the breeding ground for these warriors and religious leaders assumed dominance in a society where traditionally they had a subservient role to play and were excluded from participating in tribal councils (called jirgas). By the time the Soviets were defeated and the U.S. had left the region, religion had become a major force in the frontier.
A consequence of the Soviet defeat was that the large numbers of jihadis trained in Pakistan were now free for employment elsewhere. These now became the strategic assets of Pakistan, to retain influence over Afghanistan and for employment against India. Zia’s death in a plane crash on 17 August 1988 brought back a semblance of civilian rule, though the political parties were mindful of the interests of the Army. But Zia’s eleven years at the helm of affairs had radically altered the social and religious landscape of the country. The children of those years are now radicalised young men and women. The assassination of Salman Taseer, Governor of Punjab Province by his security guard in 2011, reflects the mindset of those young men and women impacted by Zia’s thrust on Islamic ideology. Husain Qadri, the killer was unrepentant. ‘I am a slave of the Prophet and the punishment for one who commits blasphemy is death,’ he told a television crew from Dunya TV that arrived at the scene shortly after the killing, reflecting the level to which radicalisation had crept into society. 
The period of civilian rule coincided with the end of the Cold War, which diminished Pakistan’s geo-strategic importance to the US and the West and led to reduced inflows of economic and military assistance. But despite civilian rule, there was no push back against the Islamisation process. On the contrary, in 1998, Pakistan moved further down the Islamic road, with the Nawaz Sharif government declaring the Quran and the Sunnah to be the law of the land. The Bill provides for a federal Shariat court to determine whether any existing law is repugnant to Islam and empowers the federal government to issue directives and make laws for the implementation of the Islamisation process. It also bestowed sweeping powers on the government to take necessary action against any state functionary for non-compliance with its directives. Paradoxically, the bill was opposed by the secular polity as also by the religious right. The formers opposition was the fear that such a measure signalled a theocracy being established while the religious right felt that the Bill did not go far enough. In the event, neither group was pleased.
Deteriorating civil military relations prompted Sharif in October 1999 to sack the Army Chief, General Pervez Musharraf, and announce his replacement on national television. The Army however stood beside their Chief and in a bloodless coup, Nawaz Sharif was deposed and Musharraf seized power. The coup was not only bloodless but also popular. For Pakistanis across the sociological spectrum, the Army was not responsible for ruining their country’s desire for democracy. That dishonour went to Bhutto and Sharif.
Musharraf’s decade long stint at the helm coincided with the US War on terror. He adroitly capitalised on the situation and aligned Pakistan to US interests in its war in Afghanistan. But it also led to resentment within the country as what many perceived to be buckling under US Pressure. This, along with the attack on the Lal Masjid by military commandoes to evict the Mosques of terrorists, led to tribal leaders coalescing and declaring a jihad against the government and the military and spurring the loosely connected militant groups to come together. Thus was formed a united front under the banner of Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). The birth of the TTP, incorporating representatives from all the seven tribal regions of Pakistan as well as parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, including Swat, Malakand, Buner, and Dera Ismail Khan, where the Taliban movement was already active, led to a massive upsurge of insurgency in the region which has shown no signs of abating. It has led to sectarian conflict and continues to fuel radical ideology in the country. 
After Musharraf’s ouster on 18 August 2008, there has been an outward semblance of democracy in Pakistan, but the levers of power have remained firmly in the hands of the military. Whenever the ruling political establishment has tried to clip the wings of the Army, it has found itself beset with problems, and then forced to seek the Army’s assistance. Zardari found that to his cost when Hussain Haqqani, Pakistan’s ambassador to the US was falsely implicated by the Army in 2011, of masterminding a memo to US officials to help Pakistani civilians overcome the military’s hegemony in domestic politics. Thereafter, Zardari’s tenure was effectively that of a lame duck President. Nawaz Sharif was to receive the same fate when protests led by a cleric, Tahirul Qadri, and supported by Imran Khan, on the specious grounds that the elections were rigged, virtually paralysed the government, forcing Sharif to seek the Army’s assistance. Later, Nawaz was eased out of office on corruption charges in the infamous Panama Papers scandal, which linked his children to offshore companies which were used to buy expensive properties in London. This was widely construed to be a judicial coup, with the unseen hand of the Pakistan Army in the background. 
That neither the military nor the Mosque will let go of the power it enjoys has become the default condition of Pakistan as a state and this is what drives its foreign policy against India. The military has, over the years entrenched itself into a privileged position in the nations polity, and has also built up a sizeable commercial empire. Given the scale of its commercial interests and the need to safeguard them, the Army controls policy to prevent interference by civilian governments. Moreover, it is today not just defending its professional turf and institutional interests from civilian encroachment, but actively expanding them. Improving relations with India is thus antithetical to the interests of the Pakistan military, as to do so would negate the need for a strong and over arching military. The bogey of the Indian threat thus has to be kept alive, to ensure that the army maintains its disproportionate resources and influence in Pakistan. Consequently, the army will not  allow any civilian government to mend relations with India, making a state of no war no peace an inevitable default condition. It will continue to fuel destabilising policies in terms of both overt and covert support to anti India terrorist organisations such as the LeT and the Hizbul Mujahideen, which has the potential to escalate into conflict as happened in the Kargil war of 1999.
As a society, the Pakistani state remains overly radicalised. Two recent instances highlight the malady, both under the new government led by Imran Khan, which reaffirm the extent to which Islamist groups have penetrated civil society. When the new government was formed, Dr Atif Rehman Mian, a renowned Pakistani-American economist, was selected as one of the members of the newly constituted Economic Advisory Council (EAC). His appointment was however opposed by Tehreek-i-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP), Muttahida Majlis-i-Amal and the Pakhtunkhwa Milli Awami Parties, who objected to his Ahmadi faith. The government was forced to bow down under pressure from these groups and Dr Mian was dropped from the EAC.
The second case, following closely on the heels of the first, pertained to a decision by Pakistan’s apex court, which on 31 October 2018, struck down the death sentence for blasphemy, awarded by a lower court to a Christian woman, Asia Bibi. This led to countrywide protests by Islamist groups, with the TLP announcing its intent to paralyse the country if the decision was not reversed. Calls were given for the death sentence to be given to the three judges of the Supreme Court who had passed this judgement, and an appeal was made to soldiers to mutiny against their officers, if the Army supported the decision. Prime Minister Imran Khan warned the protestors, but was forced to retract and sign an understanding with them, a decision he rationalised  in the name of avoiding bloodshed. The News in its editorial remarked: “The PTI government has negotiated as complete a surrender as possible. For three days, the TLP’s violent members shut down the nation’s cities, threatened law and order and routinely called for mass assassinations of the country’s leaders…The only reaction to this document of surrender should be shame.”
The two issues highlighted above increasingly point to the government succumbing to the dictates of radical religious groups. As Pakistan continues in its path of Islamisation, where acceptance of a faith other than Islam is anathema, the political establishment will have little room if any to manoeuvre, should they attempt to normalise relations with India. The interest of the Mosque and the military coalesce in maintaining an anti India stance, which would ensure that the two nations exist in a state of perpetual hostility. In a statement given to the Jinnah Institute in 2017, Riaz Khokhar, Pakistan’s former foreign secretary pithily remarked in 2017, “There is no such thing as a normal relationship between India and Pakistan: relations are always either abnormal, or ultra-abnormal, or war-like”. Khokhar advocated talks as the way out, but that would depend on the Military-Mulla nexus foregoing the use of terrorism to destabilise India, something which these two groups cannot and will not do.
The suicide bombing in Pulwama in Jammu and Kashmir is illustrative. On 14 February 2019, a local Kashmiri lad, rammed his explosive laden car against a bus carrying personnel of India’s Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF), killing 44 personnel. Within an hour, a video of the bomber was released by Jaish-e-Muhammad (JeM), a Pakistan based Deobandi jihadist terrorist group, which claimed the attack, and shortly thereafter, India vowed retaliation to the perpetrators, wherever they might be. The raison d’être of the JeM is to separate Kashmir from India and merge it into Pakistan. It is but one of the terrorist groups operating in Pakistan against India and has, since its inception in 2000 CE, carried out several terrorist strikes against India including the infamous attack on India’s Parliament in 2001 and more recently, the attack on a military base in Uri in 2016 and the attack on an IAF base in Pathankot in the same year. Pakistan based terrorist groups have been waging what is termed as a proxy war against India, since 1990, with a focus on Kashmir,  as a "gateway" to the entire India, whose Muslims are also deemed to be in need of liberation. After liberating Kashmir, it aims to carry its ‘jihad’ to other parts of India, with an intent to drive Hindus and other non-Muslims from the Indian subcontinent.
On 26 February, India retaliated with an air attack on the JeM base at Balakot, in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Pakistan. The attack was a precision strike carried out by 12 Mirage 2000 fighter aircraft, and the stated target was destroyed. It is believed that 200-300 terrorists were in the buildings hit in the early morning strike and all of them were believed to have perished. Predictably, Pakistan claimed that the Indian missiles missed the targets and no damage was caused, though weeks after the event, Pakistan has not permitted either the foreign or their own media to visit the site. A day later, on 27 February, Pakistan retaliated with an air strike with its F 16 aircraft, the missiles fired by the Pakistani fighters missing an ammunition dump of a forward brigade position of the Indian Army. The Pakistan premier said that the miss was deliberate as he did not want the conflict to escalate. In the ensuing dogfight, an Indian MiG Bison fighter was shot down, with the pilot ejecting and landing in POJ&K and being apprehended by the Pakistan military. The Pakistan Air Force lost an F-16 in the dogfight, which Pakistan initially claimed as an India MiG, but later maintained a stoic silence over the same. The Indian pilot was returned within 72 hours, and the immediate crisis was over, but underlying tensions between the two countries remain, as the prime cause—the use of terrorists by Pakistan as its strategic assets—has not been addressed.
Regardless of the claims made by India or Pakistan with respect to the effectiveness of the air strikes, the very fact that India used its Air Force to strike at targets deep within Pakistan signals a shift in strategy and indicates that India will no longer be restrained in confining its operations to within its boundaries but will strike at the very heart of the terror organisations. Another paradigm shift in the Indian stance was in calling Pakistan’s nuclear bluff. Henceforth, the rules of engagement stand changed, with the world by and large accepting India’s right to strike at targets within Pakistan which are being used as bases by terrorist groups to target India.

What then of the future of India-Pakistan relations? Talks between the two countries are unlikely to yield any result. If such potential was there, it would have been realised by now. Pakistan either will not or perhaps cannot dismantle its terrorist infrastructure, created over decades, as the possible blowback to the state may prove to be prohibitive. Islamic radicalisation has seeped into every aspect of life in Pakistan, and effecting a change in mindsets will take at least one generation. This does not signify a failure of what the founding fathers of Pakistan had imagines the Islamic state to be. Rather, it signifies the success of such venture. To that extent, we would do well to consider that Ayesha Jalal was perhaps not correct when she stated that the idea of Pakistan was not well imagined. It was imagined on precisely these lines. What perhaps was not imagined was that it would succeed so well and the consequences would not be to Pakistan’s liking. Hence, India must give up the chimera of seeking peace with Pakistan and prepare to make Pakistan pay for its antagonism. While peace may not be the outcome, a firm deterrent posture will in all likelihood lead to the avoidance of war. That is the best that can be hoped for.(Published as a book chapter in the book: INDIA-THE FUTURE OF SOUTH ASIA by Turning point publishers) Editor: Karan Kharab, pp130-143.

Monday, June 12, 2017

NEEDLING THE ARMY

A rather peculiar phenomenon which is now appearing on the political landscape and in the mainstream and social media, is that anyone who is anyone, feels compelled to comment on the country’s Armed Forces, more so on the actions of the Army. The trend gained traction after the  terror attack on the Air Force Station at Pathankot in January 2016, which caused casualties to own forces before the terrorists were eliminated. This was followed a month later by a terror attack on  a government building in the outskirts of Srinagar which resulted in the loss of three para commandos including two Captains, before the lone terrorist was eliminated. Then in September, 17 soldiers lost their lives in a sneak attack on a brigade HQ in Uri sector, which rightly caused rage and indignation across the country and led to the Indian Army responding by a surgical strike across the border, successfully targeting a number of terrorist bases. Finally, in November, the terrorists struck once again, this time at an artillery unit in Nagrota, killing three soldiers, including one Captain.

2017 has not yet seen the type of high profile attacks of 2016 on military targets, which perhaps points to the success of the Army in keeping the area under effective domination, but civil disobedience in the form of pelting stones at the security forces has taken on a more ominous dimension. It was to save the lives of election officials and their protection party from a thousand or so stone pelters intent on creating mayhem that Maj Gogoi, who was detailed to rescue the beleaguered officials, tied up a stone pelter in front of his jeep and carried out the rescue without mishap in April this year. But then all hell broke loose, with exaggerated concern being expressed for the human rights of the tied up stone pelter, but muted or no criticism being showered on the murderous stone pelters and their attempts to thwart the election process. The Army supported the action of Gogoi, with the Chief giving him his commendation card while stating at the same time that though not the norm for the Army, different situations required different responses. A former Army Commander of Northern Command however openly expressed his displeasure to the act of tying up a stone pelter, taking the high moral ground that such an act had no place in the Army’s ethos. The Government supported the Army Chief, but predictably, the opposition came out all guns blazing, indicting the Centre and the alliance government at the State  for its perceived failure in bringing peace and normalcy to the Valley and infringement of the human rights of the civilian stone pelter.

Soon public opinion was divided on the issue. Editorial pieces in the Indian Express slammed the Army, the Telegraph termed the sequence of incidents as shocking and unbecoming and the Hindustan Times bluntly stated “The General has it wrong”. Karan Thapar, the son of  a former Chief also jumped into the fray, stating that it was ‘not the Indian Army I know’. But other mainstream papers supported the Army, support pouring in overwhelmingly also from the social media. In all the brouhaha, the basic issue however got ignored.

Commanders need to take decisions in real time in situations which are akin to war. Their actions cannot be judged in terms of right or wrong — but on whether their action was done in good faith. How an action will eventually pan out can never be pre-determined and young commanders must always have the backing of their superiors in the chain of command for taking on the spot decisions. Otherwise, our junior leadership will lose confidence in the higher leadership with disastrous consequences for the Army and the nation. More importantly, as said so eloquently by Sadguru, decisions on the battlefield must be left to the commanders who are facing the bullets and cannot be the subject of debate in the media. Every action cannot be put open to public gaze. The Army is the instrument of final resolve and its edge must never be allowed to be eroded. Which is why the Chief supported his officers fighting on the battlefield. On a different note, Karan Thapar may be right when he stated that this is not the Army he grew up in. It most certainly is not. The present Chief upheld the interests of the Army. Sadly, that did not happen when his father was the Chief and we suffered humiliation at the hands of the Chinese in 1962.

EDITORIAL - Published in SALUTE: Apr-May 2017

Tuesday, December 27, 2016

ON THE CUSP OF CHANGE

When viewed in a historical context, the year 2016 will perhaps be remembered as the year where change was attempted for the first time from the status quo mindset that has consumed India since Independence. For the Armed Forces, the past year has seen many positive developments and some downsides too, but the process of change is visible, though it is still a work in being.
Three issues merit attention. The first of these pertain to operational issues, the second pertain to the acquisition process and the third to the state of relations between the military and India’s bureaucracy.
Operationally, there has been a distinct change in India’s response options to the war by other means that is being waged by Pakistan against India using terrorism as an instrument of state policy. The surgical strike was but a reflection of a more robust approach being taken to address issues that have bedevilled India’s response to Pakistani intransigence. Many defence analysts, this writer included, have long felt the need for increasing the cost to the Pakistan Army exponentially for supporting terror groups, thereby forcing Pakistan to act in a more responsible manner. It is no one’s case that just one strike will motivate Pakistan to follow a more rational path. The Pakistan military’s pride was hurt by the surgical strike and it was only to be expected that they would retaliate. With their nuclear bluff being called, Pakistan found that its only option was to continue with using terrorists to attack Indian Army posts. This does not signify a failure of  India’s offensive gambit, but perhaps speaks of its success.
The proactive response to Pakistani terror must now be renewed with greater force on the Line of Control (LC), without pause. The possibility of escalation remains, but that is the price that the nation will have to pay if retribution to the Pakistan military is to be effective. The Army must not get into a besieged mentality but must dominate its surroundings and ensure that armed attackers are eliminated before they are in a position to strike. This could lead to collateral damage at times. The military leadership must hold the hands of its units in such cases and simultaneously, sensitise the political leadership of the same. Post demonetisation, the terrorist groups are on the back foot and over time, will find sustenance difficult. This must be exploited to eliminate such groups from Indian soil.
The acquisition process is now getting streamlined with faster decision making and an increased focus on the Make in India campaign. The attempt towards indigenisation are still small baby steps, but they represent a forward movement, which earlier was conspicuous by its absence. The forces too must look for indigenous solutions, else India’s fledgling defence industrial base will never take off. The Tejas aircraft and Indian ship building represent important steps in this direction but much more needs to be done, especially in terms of making the DPSU’s, Ordnance Factories and the DRDO, more accountable and responsive to user needs. 
The state of relations between the military and India’s bureaucracy remains abysmal, largely a product of legacy attitudes wherein the babus continue to spare no effort in denigrating the Forces. Why the defence force are denied space in the decision making process remains a mystery, with India being perhaps the only democracy in the world where such practises obtain. The babus in the MoD lack expertise to advise on defence matters, yet they are vested with complete financial and decision making powers without being held accountable for the same. That accountability continues to rest on the shoulders of the military’s leadership, sans the financial and decision making powers. Such a paradoxical situation will sooner rather than later invite disaster. It is time that the entire MoD is revamped and staffed with at least 50 percent officers from the Armed Forces, with the post of defence secretary and secretary defence production being held by four star ranked officers from the Armed Forces. The CDS will come about in the New Year, but that by itself is not enough. Unless the rules of business are changed and the primacy of the bureaucrat is removed, India’s defence structure will remain compromised.
We are at the cusp of change for the first time since Independence. The tide is flowing, but will we take it at the proverbial flood, which leads on to fortune? Or will we let the opportunity go by, and stagnate? The future beckons and is exciting. Happy Reading and a Very Happy New Year to all our readers.

Editorial- SALUTE Mag; Nov Dec 2016

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

WHAT MAKES A SOLDIER FIGHT: The Challenge of Operating in J&K



2016 has been a tumultuous year for the Indian Army deployed in J&K. The challenge ironically came from a growing perception that normalcy was setting in and the role of the Army required to be re-calibrated to facilitate the normalisation process. How this was to come about was not defined, but a general perception that trickled down to the rank and file was that nothing should be done that could vitiate the atmosphere and which could potentially lead to alienating the people in the Kashmir Valley. Herein lay the flaw. The assumption, though not stated, implied that a major contributing factor to alienation was the presence and actions of the Indian Army. Remove that, and voila, peace and tranquility would return. By laying the onus of a return to peace on the men in uniform, causative factors were brushed aside, and the insidious role played by terror groups, their supporters from across the border and fifth columnists operating from inside the state and in other parts of the country was glossed over. Also overlooked was the role of the political class and the state administration in the entire process.

Peace in the Kashmir Valley as indeed in the whole state of J&K will remain a chimera for a host of reasons, not least of which is the fact that a peaceful J&K state does not fit in with the larger aims of Pakistan and its military. Kashmir is not the core dispute between India and Pakistan as is generally stated and believed. That core is ideological, going back to the events in history that led to the creation of Pakistan as a separate country for the Muslims of the subcontinent. Kashmir is but a symptom of the larger malaise that afflicts Pakistan’s polity and its military leadership. It defines itself as the antithesis of India and in that sense, Pakistan is what India is not. If the two countries were to live in peace, then the question - why partition, would be difficult to answer. Are the two nations condemned by history to live in a state of constant friction and hostility? That is the fundamental issue which policy makers in India and its military leadership need to confront and address. Pakistan will continue to keep the pot boiling in J&K. The challenge is to keep the population of J&K, immune to such influence. 

Like other states in the Indian Union, J&K too has had its share of poor governance, corrupt administrators and self serving politicians. While such factors have contributed to the spread of terrorism in the state, they are neither primary nor causative factors.  Had this been so, we would have seen a similar influx of violence in many other parts of the country. Violence in the state of J&K is more a product of instigation by forces inimical to the state and a vitiated political discourse. The threat is from deliberate fomentation of violence by foreign backed terrorist groups who are supplied weapons, explosives and money by their cross border handlers to carry out their nefarious designs and who are also trained and indoctrinated in safe havens across the border. Threats also emanate from a focused campaign to indoctrinate the people through propaganda and imposition of an alternate ideology which is inimical to the idea of a secular state. The latter is the more dangerous and insidious, as it poison’s the minds of the youth through a surreptitious network that has infiltrated into the states education system, sections of the print and audio visual media, government offices and into its religious edifice - the mosques. The psychological dimension of subversion of society also needs urgent address, along with measures to eliminate violence, stabilise the polity, improve justice delivery and ensure an efficient administration. As of now, the state suffers from multiple infirmities, and it is in such an environment of fear and distrust that the Indian Army has been operating. Since Independence, the Army has played a sterling role in the state, and has been very active in the last three decades in combatting terror supported from across the border. What India faces is not a proxy war by Pakistan but a war by other means emanating from that country. That is the prime reason why normalcy is yet to return to the state. Internal fault lines aggravate the situation further. The Army has successfully kept the situation under control but a total return to normalcy would require synchronised efforts of multiple organs of the state to play their part in sync with security force operations. That is still a work in being and hence the challenge faced by the Army is immense. In such an environment, we need to revitalise the capability and capacity of the military to ensure stability till a durable peace returns to the state.

In his ‘Mann ki Baat’ of 26 November, the Prime Minister stated “When the entire country stands with our jawans, their strength increase 125 crore times.” This is a truism which is oft forgotten. The support a soldier receives form the nation contributes in great measure to his morale and enables him to  perform, well over his abilities. Sadly, this support is conspicuous by its absence, both in India’s polity and in its administrative network, over long stretches of time. The row over AFSPA is but a manifestation of this malaise. AFSPA is neither the cause of violence, nor of its continuation. It is simply an enabling provision to permit the Army to effectively discharge its duties. But it becomes a handy tool for various inimical groups to demonise the Army and disparage the work it does in most trying and difficult circumstances. 

In conventional conflict, the whole nation stands as one behind its Armed Forces. All the wars that the nation has fought in since Independence stand testimony to the above observation, the Kargil war being the most recent expression of national will against an external enemy. But in long drawn out insurgencies and in wars conducted by other means, such as the current conflict in J&K, such support is not always forthcoming. In some cases, there are voices raised in the country supporting the terrorists, as happened in the prestigious environs of the Jawahar Lal University in February 2016, and later also in the Jadavpur University in  Kolkatta. What then compels the Indian soldier to fight, despite a perceived lack of support from the nation he is committed to defend? The reputed historian, S.L.A. Marshall, in his book, “Men Against Fire” was remarkably prescient in his observation when he stated: “I hold it to be of the simplest truths of war that the thing which enables an infantry soldier to keep going with his weapons is the near presence or the presumed presence of a comrade…He is sustained by his fellows primarily and by his weapons secondarily.”

Indeed, the primary motivation of men in battle is related to strong group ties and the desire of not letting their buddy down. Another noted research paper by Edward A. Shils and Morris Janowitz also showed similar results among Germany’s Wehrmacht soldiers who fought on even as Berlin fell. This primary motivation is as true today as it was in the great World Wars. The US validated this truth yet again in a study carried out in Iraq on what motivated soldiers to fight. The paper, published by the U.S. Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute in 2003 validated the popular belief that unit cohesion is a key issue in motivating soldiers to fight. What makes men fight is hence a product of unit cohesion, esprit de corps and strong bonds of loyalty to one’s comrades in arms and the unit one belongs to.

This has been the Indian experience too. The ‘izzat’ of the ‘paltan’, unit cohesion and strong bonding makes a soldier persevere, despite the most formidable odds. The saga of Lance Naik Hanumanthappa Kopad, who was rescued alive after being buried 25 feet in an avalanche for five days at minus 50 degrees Celsius, in the Siachen Glacier, reflects that spirit. The nation mourned when the brave heart passed away after being evacuated to the Command Hospital at Delhi, but the sheer grit in surviving such odds galvanised the whole nation. While the courage and fortitude of the soldier was commendable, equally commendable was the will of his commanding officer and all ranks of the battalion, who continued with the rescue efforts in extremely hostile terrain and weather conditions, despite knowing that medically, the chance of finding a survivor were nil. It is this spirit instilled in the fighting soldier that imbues him with the will to fight. He will fight for his comrades, because he knows that his comrades will fight for him. The larger cause is the nation, but the immediate context is survival, the izzat of his paltan and the desire to stand up for his comrades, knowing fully well that his comrades will always stand up for him.

Imbuing such spirit in the rank and file of the Armed Forces is a product of regimentation. Simply stated, the ethos of the unit requires each man to ensure that his unit or sub unit is the very best that can be. No sacrifice is big enough to uphold the honour and good name of the unit. Field Marshal Sam Manekshaw, as the Army Chief succinctly stated this in his address to the Gentleman Cadets in the Passing out Parade of the Indian Military Academy. “You are required to ensure the security of your country” he said. “Should you have to fight, you must fight to win. There are no runner’s up in war”. That desire to win is the cutting edge of every unit’s ethos.

It is regimentation that builds up the will to win, to conquer and persevere against all odds. Regimentation gives the individual the responsibility for the success of the unit and for preserving its honour. That is why he is ready to die to protect his comrades. And as his comrades are similarly inclined, the soldier gets the confidence that his back is also being protected. He thus trusts his colleagues with his life, just as they trust him with theirs. The third factor is trust in the military and political leadership and faith in the national aim. This is vital both in war and in long drawn out anti insurgency and anti terrorism campaigns. But this faith and trust is not something that can be taken for granted. It has to be nurtured, else, like everything else, it can decay and wither over time, with negative consequences for the Army and for the nation. It is this aspect that remains worrying in the ongoing war by other means which Pakistan is waging against India in Jammu and Kashmir.  

The war against terror being waged in J&K has been ongoing for nearly three decades and is not likely to terminate any time soon. In 2015, India witnessed the fourth highest number of terrorist incidents globally as indicated in the Statistical Appendix of US Country Report on Terrorism 2015. Civilian and security forces fatalities were 181 and 155 respectively, in 2015. The figures for 2016 are slightly higher, at 191 civilian fatalities and 173 security forces fatalities. Of these, 84 security forces fatalities have taken place in J&K alone. The environment of operations is thus difficult, but soldiers still persevere because of the strong regimental traditions and unit ethos. However, certain incidents in the recent past have the potential to erode the confidence of the rank and file in its leadership - both political and military. That is a cause for concern. 

Mistakes invariably will be committed by troops on the ground, which obviously must be investigated and analysed to learn the appropriate lessons.  How such incidents are dealt with however, requires a great deal of sensitivity and finesse to avoid an adverse impact on the morale and confidence of troops. An incident in November 2014 where a mobile check post of the Army fired on a car which did not stop is a case in point. The incident led to the death of two and injury to two more persons, all of whom were later found to be teenagers. The uproar over the killing of innocent schoolchildren is understandable, but the immediate reaction by the Army, (perhaps on political considerations) that the guilty Army personnel will be dealt with, sent a wrong message to the rank and file. How was guilt established without even a cursory investigation? Why was it made so public? Could not there have been better means to inform the public and assuage their anger? Regardless of the fact that the troops in this incident acted in good faith or otherwise, to arbitrarily condemn them as guilty broke that trust which a soldier has placed in his superiors. The larger fear of such breach in faith is that troops will prefer inaction rather than aggressively pursue a line which may have negative consequences for them, should things go wrong.

It is important that the morale of soldiers is maintained at any cost. Adverse occurrences need to be dealt with through skilful perception management which, while assuaging public sentiments, does not cause damage to military morale. At this all important cusp in the developing situation in J&K, it must also be ensured that the offensive spirit is not sacrificed in an attempt to reach a quick peace. This will lead to a siege mentality where troops will stay confined to their areas of operation, and will seek to avoid combat when they do venture out. In the process, we will see a resurgence in terrorist activity which for the moment has been effectively contained. 


It is also important for the state to get its act together. A revamping of the state’s administration and improvement in the criminal justice system is a crying need and must be taken up urgently along with steps to check the mushrooming of Madrasas that preach a virulent Wahhabi discourse. Many school’s too have been infiltrated which now propagate Wahhabism and which is putting a death knell into the ‘Kashmiriyat’ that was the state’s tradition. The Army on its part must continue with offensive operations, and must learn to handle flak when things go wrong. The road ahead is long and slippery, but it would be a test of the military’s leadership at all levels. The Army has no option but to persevere and come out with flying colours.

For CLAWS Journal, Spring 2017.

Thursday, November 17, 2016

THE YEAR THAT WAS

In many respects, 2015 can be considered as a watershed year. Just two decades ago, in 1995, India suffered about 4000 fatalities, in incidents related to terrorist violence and insurgencies. That high dropped to 1212 fatalities in 2005, and further dropped to just over 700 fatalities in 2015, of which 379 fatalities pertained to terrorists killed by the security forces. This indeed is a remarkable turnaround by the security forces and the Indian state. From the previous year itself, the fatalities have declined by close to 30 percent, making 2015 by far the most peaceful year in India, in decades. There were 175 civilian fatalities in terrorist violence throughout the country in 2015, of which 88 were in LWE affected areas. This marks a turning point in the war against terror, which must be exploited through political means to bring about lasting peace.

The social media as a counterpoint to the mainstream media has resulted in democratising information at a scale never seen before, which can but augur well for the country. Information today is all pervasive, and thankfully, is no longer the sole preserve of the government or the big corporate, though they continue to exercise great influence on its content and disbursement. Just as the fourth estate acts as a check on the government and its functioning, the social media has levelled the playing field by putting into public domain, what the fourth estate is loathe to do. While the social media too has its pitfalls, over time, balance will set in which is a positive for the India growth and development story. We are living in the age of information, and information today is power. Democratisation of information has put that power, or at least a semblance of it, firmly in the hands of the people. This is a lesson the armed forces must take note of, as future conflict will have information at its core.

The change of government at the Centre in 2014, has heralded a change in decision making, which at last has picked up pace after a decade of inertia. The political authority has shown its intent in pushing through proposals for fast tracking growth, which has been reflected through 2015. That is indeed a cause for cheer. The instruments of governance however, continue to be a cause for concern, as India’s bureaucracy is wedded to its old slothful ways of delaying decisions and avoiding accountability. Reinvigorating the bureaucracy remains a challenge, which still remains rooted to working with twentieth century mindsets to confront the challenges of the twenty-first century.

On the defence preparedness front, the Make in India programme is making headway, albeit slowly. While the progress is slow, it appears that defence reforms are back on track, though resistance by certain self interest groups and the general inertia of the bureaucracy threaten to derail the system, with the old approach of licence-manufacture, continuing to find resonance in the corridors of power.

There is no alternative for India but to design and manufacture our defence needs at home, if we wish to see ourselves free from the clutches of foreign military vendors. Screwdriver technology, as showcased by the Defence Public Sector Units is not indigenisation, regardless of the spin put out on it by those heading such organisations. Indian design, development and manufacture must be the keystone for the defence sector, which by itself can improve the nations GDP by a point or two, besides enhancing the country’s technological base and providing employment to millions. The challenges are many, but a concerted effort by the political authority, in sync with the Armed Forces, the public sector and the private sector, can deliver the requisite end result. That will remain the defining challenge for 2016. Happy New Year and Happy Reading.
Published in SALUTE Dec2015-Jan2016

Sunday, August 14, 2016

India - China Relations: Deal with a Measure of Pragmatism

Much has been written on the possible future trajectory of Sino-Indian relations. Will India and China be partners? Or, are they unavoidable rivals? Some, like the late Bharat Verma, visualised an intransigent China which, sooner rather than later, would attack India - a throwback to the 1962 conflict which rankles India but which, surprisingly, is not much talked about in China. The optimists, on the other hand, promote the concept of ‘Chindia’ - a term coined by Goldman Sachs, suggesting that both India and China could jointly create a new world order. In April 2005, when Chinese premier Wen Jiabao called the economic cooperation between the two countries as the ‘two pagodas of hardware and software’, some were ready to believe that the statement reflected a deep rapprochement between the two countries which could give rise to a new Asian trade and power bloc. Both these viewpoints appear to be oversimplifications, reflecting long held fears and hopes in equal measure.
In the Preface to his book ‘India’s China Policy’ (Indiana University Press, 1962), P. C. Chakravarti wrote: “The key to Sino-Indian relations lies hidden in the soil of Tibet. It is on the rocks of the Roof of the World that our friendship with China will flourish or flounder”. Written in 1961, the premise of the author still appears to be valid. The unresolved border and territorial dispute between the two countries that led to the conflict in 1962 and the refuge given by India to the Dalai Lama, are issues which continue to bedevil relations between the two countries. Chinese sensitivity on the question of Tibet is well known, China being wary of any type of support being given to the independence movement in Tibet. To these historical legacies have been added Chinese plans for hydrographical projects on the Yarlung Tsang Po river, Chinese concerns over the US-India Civil Nuclear Agreement deal and the increasing military cooperation between India and the USA, which China perceives as being directed at isolating China. On the Indian side, Chinese support to Pakistan - especially in the field of nuclear and missile technology and the strategic nature of its partnership with that country – have led many Indian defence analysts to believe that the proxy war being waged by Pakistan against India is being done at the behest of China. This is to ostensibly confine India to the backwaters of South Asia and prevent its emergence as a dominant player in world affairs, in conformity with a Chinese saying that ‘one mountain cannot hold two tigers’!
In 1954, the Indian leadership believed that Sino-Indian relations could be conducted with ‘mutual respect for each other’s territorial integrity and sovereignty, mutual non aggression, mutual non interference in each other’s internal affairs, equality and mutual benefit’. Thus was signed the Sino Indian Agreement of 29 April 1954, relating to trade and other contacts between ‘the Tibet region of China and India’. This was also called the Panchsheel Treaty. The ink had hardly dried on these admirable sentiments when acrimony broke out between the two countries on what constituted the border, and of border violations by each side. Real politics is devoid of sentiment as rightly stated by Dr Buchanan-Hamilton, who when advising Lord Hastings against the occupation of Nepal, pointed out that ‘a frontier of seven or eight hundred miles between two powerful nations holding each other in mutual contempt seems to point at anything but peace’ (Papers Respecting the Nepaul War - The Administration of the Marquis of Hastings in India, India House Library, Page 45). A newly independent India had yet to learn that lesson.
The border issue remains intractable, even after nineteen rounds of talks, the latest being held in April 2016 amid growing discord between the two nations over Beijing blocking India’s bid to get JeM chief Masood Azhar banned by the UN. This is hardly surprising. The dispute is both a border dispute as well as a territorial dispute, with China occupying the Aksai Chin area and also laying claims to the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh. The origins of the dispute were not created by the present disputants, the dispute having originated under Manchu China and Imperial Britain, against the backdrop of the ‘great game’ of the nineteenth century between Russia and Britain. Today, India and China are trying to solve a problem which their imperialist predecessors found either insoluble or undesirable to solve. The narrative on both sides has reinforced legacy attitudes, which makes acceptance of any position well nigh impossible.
Rather than attempting to solve the problem, it may be more prudent to simply freeze the issue for future generations to solve. In the interim, both sides could look into the possibility of delineating the positions held by each side on the ground with exchange of maps, and without any prejudice to the claims of either side. Even this limited course of action has little traction with the Chinese, making any further headway impossible. The Chinese have nothing to lose by keeping the issue open as they have the military muscle to hold on to the areas they are currently in occupation of. These they consider to be ‘de facto resolved issues’. Negotiation for the Chinese implies seeking an adjustment of the areas they lay claim to, which is not just the Tawang tract but the whole of Arunachal Pradesh. Obviously, India cannot accede to this. The larger danger for India lies in the growing military asymmetry with China. As of now, India can effectively ensure against a Chinese military adventure to forcibly take its claimed areas. Within a decade from now, the military situation may tilt so drastically in Beijing’s favour that she could be tempted to resolve the issue through the use of force. That situation can be guarded against by ensuring adequate military capability to defend Indian interests. Diplomacy can only take us that far.
The river waters issue is much hyped, and often misunderstood. It is true that China is building dams at the Great Bend in the Yarlung Tsang Po river; but a deeper understanding of the issues is required. Firstly, as of now, there is no technology available to take the waters of the Tsang Po river to other parts of China. Secondly, and more importantly, is the fact that the waters of the Yarlung Tsang Po, as they enter India to become the Siang river, constitute just a small percentage of total water flows in the Brahmaputra basin. The average discharge of the Yarlung Tsang Po as it enters India is just about 1980 cumec. This increases to 16,240 cumec as the river enters Assam to form the Brahmaputra. This is mostly due to the very high levels of precipitation within the catchment areas in India and Bhutan. So the water issue is not about the Chinese attempting to divert the waters of the Yarlung Tsang Po, but the possible impact of what could happen if the waters are dammed and released suddenly. India needs to have an agreement with China on information sharing of water flows in the Yarlung Tsang Po, which could subsequently be followed up with a treaty.
Transparency in data sharing and the development of required data matrix is the ultimate necessity. With the association of basin neighbours, India and China should organise such a Core Data Agency (CDA). In the meantime, India should, on its own, keep regular tabs on the water inflow from the Yarlung Tsang Po as it enters India to form the Siang river and thereafter, periodically monitor flow levels all along the course of the Brahmaputra and its tributaries. Satellite imagery of the area will also keep India abreast of the ground situation with respect to water flows and construction activities on the Yarlung Tsang Po.
The Tibet issue and the status of the Dalai Lama are of serious concern to China. The Dalai Lama remains the honoured guest of India, and this is a situation not to the liking of the Chinese. Most Tibetans are not prepared to accept Chinese sovereignty, and the struggle within Tibet, though largely peaceful, simmers and could take a violent turn. What were to happen after the passing away of the present Dalai Lama? That is a question which worries the Chinese, as they seek ways and means to put their own nominee as the next Dalai Lama. While India has not allowed the Dalai Lama to carry out political activities in India, his very presence poses a threat to the Chinese, as he is seen as a symbol of Tibetan resistance. Some observers see the Chinese claims over the Tawang tract as a ploy to ensure that the next incarnation of the Dalai Lama does not come from Tawang, which is the seat of one of the sacred Buddhist monasteries. How this pans out in the future will impact ties between India and China.
China remains concerned about the strategic partnership developing between the USA and India, just as India is concerned about the close strategic embrace of Pakistan by China that is perceived to be aimed against India. While the key to the India-China relationship does lie on the soil of Tibet, geopolitical realities also play a significant role towards that end. Today, Sino- Indian politics go far beyond their mere bilateral significance. While India is too big a player to be the willing handmaiden of any particular power bloc, the fact remains that it suits US interests to leverage India as a counterweight against China. To that extent, both US and Indian interests stand aligned against what is perceived to be an increasingly assertive China on the world stage. While continuing with enhancing the security component of its relationship with the US, India would continue to develop its relations with China through cooperation on the economic front as well as on issues which affect both countries in the international arena.
China however, is unlikely to let go of its support to Pakistan, despite the fact that such support could have a negative impact on China’s restive Xinjiang province. The much hyped China-Pakistan Economic Corridor through Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (POK) should, however, not cause too many sleepless nights in New Delhi. The internal security situation in Pakistan – especially the movement within Baluchistan for independence, the ongoing conflict against the Taliban in FATA, and the various ethnic and sectarian conflicts that Pakistan is plagued with – all work against the fruition of the envisaged corridor. It would be in India’s interest to extend moral and diplomatic support to the people of Baluchistan, which would serve Indian interests in obviating the China-Pak strategic axis.
Equally worrying for India as of now, is the presence of a large number of Chinese personnel, many of whom are from their military, in the Gilgit-Baltistan region of POK. Reports emanating from the region point to demographic changes being made in the area, with a large number of Sunni settlers from the Punjab coming into the region, altering both its ethnic and sectarian demography. India would do well to extend its support to the indigenous people of the region, to preserve their lifestyle and culture.

In the final analysis, India needs a measure of pragmatism in its policy of dealing with China. Increased trade flows do not by themselves lead to an absence of conflict. The excellent personal rapport developed between the Indian Prime Minister and his Chinese counterpart, while useful, is also not a guarantor of peace. That comes about through hard power. India will need to develop its economic and military might to safeguard its vital national interests. Militarily, it is vital that India maintain adequate deterrent capability in the oceans as well as over the Tibetan skies. That is the guarantor of peace.
Note: Published in Indian Foreign Affairs Journal, Vol 11, No 1 - Jan-Mar 2016.

Sunday, December 6, 2015

THE BATTLE OF SARAGARHI


Beneath Saragarhi's ruined walls,
They found a fitting grave;
For Saragarhi bears the fame,
They gave their lives to save.

What does ‘Honour, Courage and Sacrifice’ mean to a soldier. Perhaps there is no better way of explaining these words than in the telling of the epic battle of Saragarhi, which was fought on 12 September, 1897 during the Tirah campaign of 1897-1898.

Tirah is a mountainous tract of country, inhabited mainly by the Afridi and Orakzai tribesman. A harsh place, it is embroiled even today in bloody conflict, though now it forms part of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province of Pakistan. At that time, this region was a part of British India and was home to a multitude of battle-hardened tribes for centuries. This was the period when the Russians were trying to make inroads into the continent via Afghanistan and the British, in response, made several incursions into Afghanistan to stop this adventurism by the tribes allied to Russia. The rivalry between Russia and Britain, played out over Afghanistan was popularly called the ‘Great Game’. To contain and keep the tribes in check the British manned a series of posts along the Hindu Kush ranges. These posts had in earlier times been constructed by Maharaja Ranjit Singh during the hey days of the Sikh empire and after its decline, these were taken over by the British for the same purpose.

To enable the smooth flow of trade via the Khyber Pass and prevent tribal raids, the British Indian Government paid a subsidy to the Afridi tribesman. In addition, they also maintained a regiment, composed entirely of Afridis, at the Khyber pass. That notwithstanding, the troops had to be ever vigilant against constant raids and skirmishes by the local tribesman. The arrangement put up by the British remained reasonably successful for the 16 years it was in operation. However, in 1897, the tribes rose in revolt against the British. To suppress the revolt, The British Indian Government launched the Tirah expedition under the command of General Sir William Lockhart in the latter part of 1897. Five companies of 36 Sikh, which had been raised on 20 April 1894 under the command of Col J. Cook, were sent in August 1897, under Lt Col John Haughton, to Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. These troops were stationed at Samana Hills, Kurag, Sangar, Sahtop Dhar and Saragarhi. 

In the tribal uprising, the tribals captured all the posts in the Khyber held by their own countrymen, and attacked the forts on the Samana Range near the city of Peshawar. During the first week of September, the Afridi and Orakzai tribesmen also launched a number of attacks on Fort Gulistan and Fort Lockhart, which too had earlier been constructed by Maharaja Ranjit Singh. Elements of 36 Sikh, under the command of Lieutenant Colonel John Haughton, which had been moved to the area, had been successfully repelling these attacks from the tough, hardy Pashtuns. Fort Lockhart was located on the Samana Range of the Hindu Kush mountains. Situated a few miles away from Fort Lockhart, was Fort Gulistan, on the Sulaiman Range. Due to the forts not being visible to each other, Saragarhi was created midway, as a heliographic communication post. Saragarhi Post was thus nothing more than a small signalling station situated on a barren, wind-blown hill-slope between Fort Lockhart and Fort Gulistan.

Despite repeated attempts, the tribesman could not breach either Fort Lockhart or Fort Gulistan. So, on September 12, 1897, they changed their strategy and attacked Saragarhi instead, aiming to cut off the vital communication link between the two forts. The Pathan attack plan was simple. The tribesman would block the entry of reinforcements, which could come to the aid of Saragarhi and thereafter attack the post with full strength. By the morning of 12 September, the tribesman were in position, and were simply raring to go. At this time, Saragarhi was being guarded by a detachment of Sikhs. It was providential that the post had been reinforced just a day earlier, and now comprised of Havildar Ishar Singh, and 20 other ranks.

On the morning of 12 September, when Havildar Ishar Singh peered through the binocular from the watch tower of his post, he was rudely awakened by the sight that met his eyes. Far in the distance, columns upon columns and row upon rows of Pathans were advancing to his post, waving their swords and guns menacingly. The dust cloud kicked up by the thousands of horses was of such intensity that it partially blocked the rays of the sun. With a grim determination, Havildar Ishar Singh, readied his men for the battle - a battle that was to resound in the annals of military history as a feat of collective heroism, unparalleled in the history of the fighting arms.

Sepoy Gurmukh Singh, the detachment signaller, then went up an elevated mound to set up his heliograph and sent the first of many signals to Fort Lockhart.

“Enemy Approaching the Main Gate. Need Reinforcements.”

But there were no reinforcements forthcoming, for as Lt Col Haughton soon found out, the enemy had effectively blocked all routes from where aid could come.

“Unable to break through. Hold Position” was the terse message that was flashed from Fort Lockhart to the beleaguered troops at Saragarhi.

“Understood”, was the response flashed back by Gurmukh Singh. The fate of the post at Saragarhi was thus sealed. Haughton could do nothing but watch from Fort Lockhart, the events unfolding before his eyes. He counted at least 10 enemy standards (each representing 1,000 tribesmen) facing the 21 soldiers from 36 Sikh.

In the Saragarhi post the bugle was sounded and in a flash the troops formed up two line abreast, one row in a squatting firing position and the other standing as per the bugle’s tone. The troops were equipped with the Martini Henry breech loading rifle, which at that time was the standard British infantry rifle. They had first entered service with the British Army in 1871 and quickly became their mainstay. The Sikhs had only recently received these rifles, after all the British units were equipped, replacing the venerable Enfield. Capable of firing ten .303 calibre rounds a minute, it proved to be more than a match to the antiquated muzzle loading rifles possessed by the tribesmen. Bur mere superiority of the rifle was no match for the hordes that confronted Ishar Singh.

The defenders now stood ready to face the advancing enemy. Ten thousand soldiers of the enemy against just 21 of the defenders. Though the rifle had an effective range of 600 yards, Havildar Ishar Singh held his fire, allowing the enemy to come closer, the better to deal with them.

“Fire”, he yelled, when the enemy was just 250 yards from the post. The massed fire effect was deadly and the leading lot of the enemy crumpled to the dust. 

“Reload”, ordered Ishar and then the next volley was fired. But the enemy was not to be halted and the following lots of the enemy continued to advance towards the post.  

“Reload and Fire at Will”, ordered Ishar Singh and a hail of bullets soon followed the command. The ding dong battle continued till the first wave of attacks was beaten back and the enemy forced to regroup. However, the manual breech loading rifle had to be cocked every time to shoot, which was time consuming. The first wave of the enemy had fallen, but there were countless waves behind them. It would be but a matter of time before the hordes were at the gate.

The Pathans now changed their strategy, and approached the post from two directions., one towards the main gate and the other towards the gap at the fort. To counter the charging enemy, Havildar Ishar Singh gave his next set of commands.

“Squatting Soldiers to the Left, Standing Soldiers to the Right…QUICKLY…QUICKLY.

The highly disciplined soldiers followed the orders like clock work and once again the enemy attack was repulsed. This level of resistance was not expected by the tribesman and so they tried a different tack. With casualties on their side mounting, they offered the defenders favourable terms to surrender. This off course was rejected with contempt by the Sikhs. They were well aware of the atrocities committed against captured soldiers by the Pashtun or Afghani tribesmen. Castration, mutilation and skinning captured soldiers alive was one of the many ways tribal leaders instilled fear and control. The Pasthun were fierce warriors just like the Indian soldiers of the British Indian Army but lacked the chivalry aspect of the warrior ethos. In a poem titled “The Young British Soldier”, Rudyard Kipling had written these immortal lines:

“When you're wounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
And the women come out to cut up what remains,
Jest roll to your rifle and blow out your brains.”

The enemy now reformed and resumed his attack on the hapless Sikhs, watched all along by their commanding officer from Fort Lockhart. All the while, Sepoy Gurmukh Singh continued flashing messages to the Fort, apprising them of the latest situation. Wave after wave came upon the defenders, who however, stoutly refused to either budge or flinch. The death toll on the enemy kept mounting, but their supply of manpower was endless. The defenders, however could not replace their losses and by noon were down to just ten men. After many unsuccessful attempts, the tribesman finally managed to breach one of the walls. By this time the battle, observed from the fort, had raged for the better part of the sunlit hours. With the enemy now in the inner perimeter, a determined Ishar Singh ordered his troops to fall back into the inner layer of Saragarhi, while he distracted and held the attackers at bay — another classic delaying tactic. After fierce and brutal hand-to-hand combat, Ishar Singh was killed, and the enemy now came into the inner perimeter, where the last phase of fighting took place. Each man stood up to be counted, and fought on till there was no breath left in him to fight. Finally, only one man, Sepoy Gurmukh Singh remained. At 1530 hours, Gurmukh passed his last message to Fort Lockhart.

“Closing down the wireless.” Request Permission to fix bayonet and fight the enemy.

Permission was accorded and Gurmukh packed his equipment into a leather bag, fixed his bayonet and prepared to take on the enemy from the strong room. One soldier, alone against thousands. With the Sikh battle cry, “Jo Bole So Nihal, Sat Sri Akal (Victory belongs to those who recite the name of God with a true heart)” on his lips, he took on the enemy, and reportedly killed about 20 Pashtuns, before he was killed, the Pashtuns having to set fire to the post to eliminate him. And then a deep quiet descended on the post, even the gods acknowledging the feat of heroism, rarely witnessed in the annals of military history.

Having destroyed Saragarhi, the Afghans turned their attention to Fort Gulistan, but they had been delayed too long, and reinforcements arrived there in the night of 13-14 September, before the fort could be conquered. Thus ended this epic saga - a feat of resistance, unparalleled in history. When the relief party finally arrived at Saragarhi, there were over 600 dead Afghans and 21 soldiers of the 36th Sikhs. Of the six hundred enemy dead, some would have been the result of artillery fire in the retaking of the post. The Afghans themselves stated that they had lost about 180 killed and many more wounded during the engagement against the 21 Sikh soldiers. But for just 21 men, to have held off thousands of the enemy tribesman for over seven hours, was in itself a remarkable feat of gallantry, achieved earlier only in the classic battle of Thermopylae, fought between a Greek alliance and the Persian Empire in 480 BCE.

When informed of this feat, Britain’s Parliament interrupted proceedings and rose to give a standing ovation to these 21 valorous soldiers — all of them Indians, all of them Sikhs — for what was undoubtedly a tremendous act of collective bravery, and one of the greatest ‘last-stands’ in military history. The collective courage of the 21 Sikh soldiers moved Queen Victoria so much that her majesty decreed that due to conspicuous gallantry and intrepidity beyond and above the call of duty displayed by the 21 soldiers, all of them shall be awarded the Indian Order Merit (IOM) posthumously. IOM is the highest award for bravery given to colonial troops and it was equivalent to the British Victoria Cross. This was the only time in history of warfare where each soldier who took part in the same battle was given the highest award. 

ROLL OF HONOUR
1.  Havildar Ishar Singh (No 165)
2.  Naik Lal Singh (332)
3.  Lance Naik Chanda Singh (546)
4.  Sepoy Sundar Singh (1321)
5.  Sepoy Ram Singh (287)
6.  Sepoy Uttar Singh (492)
7.  Sepoy Sahib Singh (182)
8.  Sepoy Hira Singh (359)
9.  Sepoy Daya Singh (687)
10.  Sepoy Jivan Singh (760)
11.  Sepoy Bhola Singh (791)
12.  Sepoy Narayan Singh (834)
13.  Sepoy Gurmukh Singh (814)
14.  Sepoy Jivan Singh (871)
15.  Sepoy Gurmukh Singh (1733)
16.  Sepoy Ram Singh (163)
17.  Sepoy Bhagwan Singh (1257)
18.  Sepoy Bhagwan Singh (1265)
19.  Sepoy Buta Singh (1556)
20.  Sepoy Jivan Singh (1651)
21.  Sepoy Nand Singh (1221)

The breached wall of Saragarhi, after it was recaptured.